Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 12.549020 14.427832 16.431414 18.720407 21.256206 23.972551 27.095325
2025-02-09 10.076892 12.528993 15.302216 18.648172 22.551911 26.938473 32.215139
2025-02-16 8.005746 10.673467 13.850266 17.866144 22.758106 28.473391 35.601227
2025-02-23 6.717950 9.528763 13.030469 17.637144 23.455154 30.473108 39.484384
2025-03-02 5.630946 8.471504 12.163393 17.201665 23.775594 31.933602 42.679285
2025-03-09 4.854645 7.713831 11.577031 17.025844 24.343362 33.651465 46.184031
2025-03-16 4.138465 6.943528 10.881136 16.614758 24.528888 34.832354 48.990580
2025-03-23 3.690908 6.503086 10.586992 16.701711 25.343842 36.819823 52.862454
2025-03-30 3.268197 6.046600 10.219060 16.638100 25.918745 38.476358 56.317277
2025-04-06 2.968222 5.745489 10.046267 16.826620 26.830180 40.592333 60.423407
2025-04-13 2.703092 5.468808 9.880940 17.001427 27.709786 42.672143 64.518368
2025-04-20 2.532764 5.331858 9.916971 17.470318 29.020396 45.376652 69.529115
2025-04-27 2.347360 5.150927 9.870881 17.811612 30.160683 47.885722 74.356253
2025-05-04 2.117518 4.862063 9.621575 17.810812 30.775728 49.649842 78.169892
2025-05-11 1.791483 4.350291 8.951094 17.084259 30.236879 49.706473 79.534497
2025-05-18 1.586874 4.047799 8.613757 16.874374 30.475505 50.892908 82.534170
2025-05-25 1.377116 3.705598 8.173906 16.458452 30.358360 51.530007 84.731246
2025-06-01 1.224344 3.462443 7.892428 16.290528 30.621185 52.733456 87.775284
2025-06-08 1.061883 3.173471 7.497516 15.894400 30.484884 53.310198 89.885060
2025-06-15 0.970157 3.033892 7.378161 15.978643 31.139431 55.115828 93.870479
2025-06-22 0.872685 2.865893 7.186990 15.917357 31.540244 56.527570 97.280563
2025-06-29 0.807507 2.768634 7.130608 16.099408 32.356586 58.608676 101.750829
2025-07-06 0.746746 2.673697 7.070440 16.268205 33.151267 60.669171 106.225331